Publikation: 'Sowing the Seeds of Love'? Determinants of Local Coalition Formation and Termination between the CDU and the Greens, 1994-2016
Der Artikel "'Sowing the Seeds of Love'? Determinants of Local Coalition Formation and Termination between the CDU and the Greens, 1994-2016 wurde im Journal "German Politics" veröffentlicht.
Drawing on empirical evidence from 11 CDU–Green coalitions in large
German municipalities, this article investigates the determinants of formation
and termination of black–green minimal winning coalitions. Such coalitions
are likely to be formed if the mayor is a party member of either the CDU or
the Greens, if one of the two parties dominates the local party system, and if
the SPD suffers from severe vote losses. Furthermore, the results indicate that
CDU–Green coalitions are primarily formed if neither the CDU nor the
Greens have gained a parliamentary majority with their ‘usual’ coalition partners.
Ideological connectivity, however, does not play a major role. Regarding
coalition stability, Christian Democrats and Greens are able to govern successfully
for an entire legislative term in most of the cases. If a coalition is terminated
early, however, this is due to a party breaking the coalition agreement by voting
on specific policies together with the SPD in the local council.